THE STATUS OF THE UKRAINE WAR: RUSSIA’S GOAL OF POKROVSK & THE EXCELLENT KURSK OFFENSIVE

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THE STATUS OF THE UKRAINE WAR: RUSSIA’S GOAL OF POKROVSK & THE EXCELLENT KURSK OFFENSIVE

RUSSIA’S MAIN GOAL FOR THIS YEAR: POKROVSK: BOGGED DOWN:
In Pokrovsk I’ve seen several maps and even checked maps myself. The Russians are about 8 Km from Pokrovsk, their big goal. In the last 2 weeks they only advanced about 200m in 2 weeks. They are definitely bogged down there and not making the progress they were making.

THE CURRENT STATUS OF THE UKRAINE WAR: DAY 46 IN KURSK: IT’S GOING VERY WELL:
The Kursk fight has been extemely interesting and complex. Despite it being day 46, the Ukrainians have NOT needed to enter trenches and to defend against mass Russian attacks. The Ukrainians are very mobile and moving around a lot.

There are about 40,000 to 45,000 Russians fighting the 10,000 – 15,000 Ukrainians in Kursk. The Russians launched a big attack to seize 2 important villages. They made some headway but it fizzled out and it has stopped.

Something I’ve not mentioned is that there are about 3,000 Russians who are partly cornered to the West of Kursk. The Ukrainians blew up 3 bridges and those Russians were struggling to get supplies. In the recent big Russian attack, the Ukrainians actually broke into the area to the West and the Ukrainians were trying to hit the Russians from their side or even their rear.

The Kursk battle is still far from being a situation where the Ukrainians are overwhelmed. The Ukrainians are moving around a lot. The Russians have no choice but to bring in even more experienced and veteran combat ready troops into Kursk.

CONCLUSION: The Kursk Offensive has gone extremely well and it is very far from being over. The Russians will have to bring a LOT more troops in there and they might be pulling them out from many other areas where the Russians were focusing their efforts. They seem to have pulled troops out from lots of parts of the front lines. The Russians definitely look like they are going to struggle for months to try to get Kursk back. This might even carry on into 2025.

UKRAINE ATTACKING REALLY BIG RUSSIAN AMMUNITION DEPOTS:
The Ukrainians seem to have used drone attacks to hit big Russian ammunition depots. There is lots of film footage of these attacks. Their biggest strike hit a depot which burned and exploded for a long time causing a 2.8 magnitude quake from the explosions and windows were breaking 5km away from the explosions.

THE STATUS OF RUSSIAN TANK PRODUCTION:
The Russians had huge stockpiles of tanks going back perhaps 70 years. In this Ukraine war they’ve lost so many tanks that within about 2 more years they might run out of tanks. Currently Russia can only produce 4 new tanks per day, but on quite a few days, more tanks are destroyed than the Russians can produce.

THE STATUS OF RUSSIAN MAN POWER & PUTIN’S LIMITATIONS:
The Russians lose about 1,000 men per day either injured or killed. The Ukrainians probably lose half or slightly less of that per day. The Russians actively recruit 20,000 to 30,000 men per month for their army.

Putin has an internal problem if he does a mass callup. For various political and internal reasons he is always very wary about going all out to really tap into the Russian manpower. About 1 million Russians left Russia when he did his first big mobilisation. So he is careful as to what he does. Recently he has ordered that the army be increased in size by 30%.

Nowadays the Russians are also turning to mercenaries from other countries. They claim they got 20,000 volunteers from 52 countries. Russia also use a lot of mercenaries from Syria. But some of the other countries they get mercenaries from are: Egypt, Malaysia, Nepal and even Blacks from Africa. They recruited several hundred Indians but the Indians were extremely unhappy that they were used for direct combat, instead of doing other tasks like firing artillery.