2 Charts: The Stupid South African Rand collapses to new lows thanks to COVID-19 freakout

Jan‘s Advertisement
Best Independent Website that monitors Russian Tank losses in Ukraine War
Oryx is a brilliant independent Dutch website that monitors lots of military losses including the losses of Russian and Ukrainian tanks. They ONLY count vehicles that they can get photos of and can prove that these are the correct vehicles that were destroyed. This link will take you to see the verified Russian tank losses and you can click to see the photos.

[There is only one way for the South African Rand and that is DOWN. I had said some time ago, that as a general rule, we're heading in the future toward R19 to 1 US$. We're definitely going down that path. So it exceeded R17. I like this. Let the system implode. Since the blacks, sink the Jews, and hit the Jews where it hurts in the pocket.

I think they're going to drop the interest rates, which will just fuel the bubbles that exist. 


div>So generally speaking, just black & Jewish nonsense here in SA. Yawn. Jan]

With a monetary policy decision and a credit-rating review on the immediate horizon, not to mention market havoc caused by the coronavirus pandemic, traders can’t see a break ahead for South Africa’s rand.

One-month implied volatility for the rand versus the dollar surged on Thursday to the highest since the aftermath of the financial crisis. The premium of options to sell the rand over those to buy it over the next month, known as 25 Delta risk reversal, widened to the most in 18 months.

Much of the uncertainty lies in Thursday’s rates decision, with analysts almost evenly split between forecasting a 50-basis-point and 25-basis-point reduction. That would help counter the economic blow from the virus, but lower rates would also put further pressure on the rand as they erode South Africa’s yield advantage over US Treasuries.

And next week, Moody’s Investors Service is assessing its investment-level rating of South Africa’s foreign debt, just as restrictions on commerce due to the virus hit the economy as it struggles to emerge from a recession.

The government has no fiscal room to throw money at the problem. With bond yields now at record highs, borrowing more to spend itself out of trouble would be costly and arouse Moody’s ire. No wonder traders don’t want to touch the rand, which slumped close to a record low against the dollar on Thursday.

Source: https://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/south-africa/rand-volatility-heads-for-uncharted-territory-as-risks-stack-up/

Jan‘s Advertisement
Follow AfricanCrisis on Telegram
You can follow AfricanCrisis‘s posts directly on Telegram. All the posts and videos go out on this Telegram Channel.

%d bloggers like this:
Skip to toolbar