Ukraine War: Ukrainian counter-offensive is moving forward slowly – Even Russian MilBloggers are seeing it
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[Here are some points which show that indeed the Ukrainians have been making some small moves recently. They seized at least 2 small places in the south. Below are some excerpts relating to this counter offensive. The Ukrainians seem to have spent weeks destroying Russian ammo dumps and messing with their logistics and ability to hit back. i.e. "Degrading" their forces. Jan]
The Ukrainian counteroffensive is making verifiable progress in the south and the east. Ukrainian forces are advancing along several axes in western Kherson Oblast and have secured territory across the Siverskyi Donets River in Donetsk Oblast. The pace of the counteroffensive will likely change dramatically from day to day as Ukrainian forces work to starve the Russians of necessary supplies, disrupt their command and control, and weaken their morale even as counteroffensive ground assaults continue. The Russians will occasionally counterattack and regain some lost ground and will of course conduct likely fierce artillery and air attacks against liberated settlements and advancing Ukrainian troops. Ukrainian forces have made substantial enough progress to begin evoking more realistic commentary from the Russian milbloggers, who had been hewing very closely to the Kremlin’s optimistic rhetoric until today.
Key Takeaways
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian forces liberated two unnamed settlements in southern Ukraine and one settlement in Donetsk Oblast. ISW has independently confirmed the liberation of the settlement in Donetsk Oblast and one of the settlements in Kherson Oblast.
Ukrainian forces continued to strike Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs), ammunition depots, and key positions to exhaust Russian forces and restrain Russian combat power.
The Ukrainian liberation of Vysokopillya ignited critical discussions among some Russian milbloggers while the Russian Defense Ministry maintained that Ukrainian forces continued to conduct “unsuccessful attempts” to advance.
Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) 127th Regiment of the 1st Army Corps personnel reportedly refused to fight due to a lack of supplies.
Ukrainian forces regained territory on the left bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in Donetsk Oblast.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northeast of Bakhmut and west of Donetsk City.
Source: https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-4
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