IMPORTANT: THE UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE IN KURSK MIGHT BE SUCCEEDING – RUSSIANS GRIND TO A HALT
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It’s taken 6 weeks, but the Ukrainian invasion of Kursk might be beginning to pay off in the way I described when it started. This is the situation. The Ukrainian gamble seems as if it is paying off.
Just a quick diversion first: Russia has been getting ballistic missiles – which are very serious weapons – from Iran and North Korea to supplement their forces. They got a staggering 200 from Iran. They are using these weapons to hit deep into Ukraine and to try to destroy infrastructure, especially electricity before the winter sets in.
The Russians have been trying to attack the Ukrainians in Kursk for weeks. They brought new troops (conscripts) and did not make much headway. Putin really tried to get Pokrovsk. But it seems as if, during the last week or perhaps more, the Russians were finally stopped before they reached Prokovsk. They are just over 8km from there. I’ve even been monitoring the maps daily. The Russians are not moving at all in Pokrovsk. The Russians had been advancing for months, and in August they advanced the most. But, about a week ago, the Russians ground to a halt. And they can’t get closer. There is much more that I can say about the region now that I’ve studied the maps, but getting that town might be much harder in other ways.
The Russians have tried so much to avoid sending troops from the East to Kursk, but in the end they seem to have had to do it. They even had to build up huge ammunition dumps in that region, one of which the Ukrainians already attacked.
As I predicted, the Russians would need at least 30,000 troops and maybe more. It seems as if, currently there are a MINIMUM of 30,000 Russian troops there, but very likely much more. Remember there were 10,000-15,000 Ukrainians there.
The Russians tried hard in recent days to chase the Ukrainians out. The captured between 2 – 10 settlements. However the Ukrainians had captured about 100 settlements. The Russians will have to gather more troops.
And IMPORTANT POINT: It seems as if, the Ukrainians are expecting (as I warned) to bog down the Russians in Kursk for SEVERAL MONTHS. They seem to have caught the Russians in a trap.
The Winter is very close, and if the Russians are unable to reach Pokrovsk, which now seems likely, while they are also unable to make much progress in Kursk, it will be a great end to the summer campaign for the Ukrainians.
ALSO: There is a chance that the Ukrainians might already have begun capturing some other Russian territory near Kursk. The Ukrainians might just be able to open up even more territory than the 1,300 sq km they have captured.
As I mentioned, the goal would be to BLEED THE RUSSIANS … for months. With winter setting in, the Ukrainians should be able to hold out for quite a long time. This might just be the beginning of a new strategy that could help to change the war.
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