Bitcoin as an Investment – My Analysis for 2022
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Sadly Gold is a mess. I suspect that the Fed and US Government are manipulating markets.
I just want to discuss Bitcoin because Max Keiser and others have been pushing it hard and I have wondered whether one can make a bit of money out of it.
I have been monitoring it for over a year.
My best guess is to continue, as I warned last year, viewing it as something that will go downhill. It hit it’s peak which was in the $60,000 range. It never hit the real highs it was supposed to get. And then it collapsed.
It has since lost about 50% of it’s value and indeed it is very volatile. Of all the things out there, it’s volatility is what can make you money.
I will be putting a bit of money into it myself. So here are my thoughts on the matter. This is based on what I’ve seen from past patterns. Bitcoin has a set of cycles and dynamics of it’s own.
I think that Bitcoin will either hit rock bottom or be near rock bottom by about November 2022.
From that point onwards it will be at or near the bottom, and one can buy into it and accumulate it.
Bitcoin runs in a 4 year cycle which includes something called "The Halving". The Halving is a very real thing which makes it much more difficult to mine new Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s supply is constantly being restricted. It will get slower and slower. The vast majority of Bitcoin have already been mined.
Thus Bitcoin is like the "Gold" of Cryptocurrency.
My best guess is that Bitcoin should at least quadruple it’s value on the next upward move. Maybe more. And that will happen in 3-4 years time.
As a rule, Bitcoin has something like a 200% annual growth rate, but I suspect that is slower these days. I think Jews and others are trying to control it.
So it might be a bit of money worth dabbling in. Don’t sell your house or car to play with Bitcoin. But I think it has some potential.
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