The recovery has not been strong enough to bring debt ratios below pre-pandemic levels in most cases: IIF.
By Maria Elena Vizcaino, Bloomberg 14 Sep 2021 20:25
Global debt loads surged during the second quarter as households seized on low mortgage rates and governments continued borrowing heavily to revive pandemic-battered economies.
The increase was led by households that added added $1.5 trillion of debt during the first half of the year, driven by the U.S., China and Brazil, with home buyers tapping into low interest rates and stepping up spending as countries emerged from lockdowns. Meantime, government and corporate debts increased by $1.3 trillion and $1.2 trillion, respectively, over the six-month period.
At the same time, the amount of debt relative to the size of the global economy declined for the first time since the onset of the pandemic as growth rebounded. The total debt load stood at about 353% of the world’s annual economic output, a nine-percentage-point drop from the peak during the first three months of 2021.
“The recovery has not been strong enough to bring debt ratios below pre-pandemic levels in most cases,” Emre Tiftik, the director of sustainability research at the IIF, wrote in the report. Excluding the financial sector, only Mexico, Argentina, Denmark, Ireland and Lebanon have a debt-to-GDP ratio below their pre-pandemic level, the report found.
Other findings from the report include:
Emerging-market debt excluding China, rose to a record near $36 trillion, driven by government borrowing in Brazil, Korea and Russia
Global issuance of sustainable bonds and loans is projected to reach $1.2 trillion in 2021. It has already reached $800 billion, surpassing the total for all of last year
“The pace of China’s debt buildup has been much steeper than in other countries,” the IFF writes. It grew by $2.3 trillion to $55 trillion in the second quarter, with non-financials accounting for over 40% of the rise