The Ukrainian Offensive has started: Russia will lose a BIG CHUNK of Ukrainian territory in the next 4 months

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[This is a note I wrote to someone I know well who is a Douglas MacGregor and Scott Ritter supporter and who does not believe my analyses. Jan]

I wrote this:
You’ve asked for predictions in the past, so I’m giving you a prediction that you can check by to see if I know what I’m saying. So I’m saying that you’ll see Russia losing a BIG CHUNK of Ukrainian territory in the next 4 months.

I think I grasp how the Ukrainian General Staff think, and I actually did a 2 hour video explaining the wars Russia has lost including in Crimea against Britain and France. I include Von Manstein’s campaign in WW2 in Crimea and how he took it. I have drawn maps on my video with my conclusion as to which exact territory the Ukrainians will seize.

NOBODY knows where the Ukrainians will hit. But I have done my analysis and it has been on video for a month now.

But I will repeat, the offensive is going to be huge. It’s not going to be small like Bakhmut. It’s going to be massive and the Russian army is going to be smashed backwards badly.

I want to hear the sob stories that Ritter and the other guy come up with afterwards.