[This Jewish professor seems to have a very accurate track record for predicting US Presidential elections. In an interview I watched he said that the ONLY thing that can hurt Trump's chances for re-election next year is an impeachment, EVEN IF IT FAILS. According to his algorithms, this is the only thing that matters. He said you can predict the presidential win, almost entirely by how well the party is doing during his term. But the impeachment attempt, can reduce his chances of actually winning.
Allan Jay Lichtman (born April 4, 1947) is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C. He is mostly known for predicting seven of the last eight results for United States presidential elections since 1984, including forecasting the 2016 U.S. presidential election remarkably early.
In 2006 he ran for the United States Senate in Maryland. He was named by American University as the Distinguished Professor of History in 2011, and as Outstanding Scholar / Teacher for 1992–93, the highest faculty award at that school. He is the author of numerous books and has published over 100 articles. A model he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, known as The Keys to the White House, was designed to predict whether the candidate of an incumbent party would win the next election for the U.S. president.
Lichtman was born into a Jewish family in the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn in New York City. He graduated from Stuyvesant High School. Lichtman received his B.A. degree from Brandeis University in history in 1967, and graduated Phi Beta Kappa and Magna Cum Laude while also running track and wrestling for the school. In 1973, Lichtman received his Ph.D. from Harvard University as a Graduate Prize Fellow, also in history.