[This analysis about the problem of Russia occupying Ukraine makes sense. I have been pointing out this problem since day 1. I said from the beginning that if the Russians could be beaten by the Afghans, then the Ukrainians will easily be able to beat them, if they can fight a guerilla war. The problem will be how long the Russians will be able to occupy Ukraine. The analysis below makes total sense. FSB is the new name for what used to be the KGB. One aspect of this report which fascinates me is the claim that 10,000 Russians may have been killed. I'm wondering if it is excessive? I had thought that about 2,000 Ukrainians had died and the Russian figure of 500 seemed very low. I'm trying to figure out how many Russians are dying versus how many Ukrainians are dying. That would give me a much deeper insight into how the war is going. But, the final point, that they need 500,000 troops in Ukraine to keep it – that is very critical. That makes sense. That's the real problem Putin faces. Jan]
A published report insinuates Russia will fail in its invasion of Ukraine; specifically, Putin’s war will be a “total failure.” The report, which was published Friday, allegedly came from a Russian FSB agent.
The Daily Mail reports that an analyst from the investigative journalism group Bellingcat showed the report to FSB sources who they had “no doubt it was written by a colleague.” In the over 2,000-word report, the agent writes Russia’s forces have “no options to victory, only defeat.”
The Kremlin has only acknowledged the deaths of 498 of its soldiers, but the FSB’s report claims over 10,000 Russians could already have been killed in Ukraine; the number is similar to one provided by Kyiv officials.
Daily Mail reports:
The whistleblower also claimed the FSB – Russia‘s successor to the Soviet Union’s feared KGB – was being blamed for the failure of Moscow’s forces to make significant progress into Ukraine, despite being given no advanced warning of the invasion.
The report also said Russia’s government has lost contact with a number of its divisions that have been sent into Ukraine, meaning they had no accurate death toll.
It came as former Russian Foreign Minister Andrei Kozyrev insisted that Putin is not ‘insane’ but ‘immoral’ as he said the president believes his invasion is logical because he has started to believe his false propaganda that Ukrainians are ‘neo-Nazis’.
The report also said even if Putin succeeds in taking out Ukrainian President Zelensky, Moscow still would be unable to occupy Ukraine. “Even with minimum resistance from the Ukrainians we’d need over 500,000 people, not including supply and logistics workers,” the author claims.